I wish you the very same summer we have at the moment, beautiful sunny days with moderate temperatures!
As usual the "market weather backcast" contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)
Last two weeks triggerd 13 signals in 10 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):
If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) is progressing nicely. In fact I started using a development snapshot of the upcoming v0.4.0 to do this weekly analysis/overview as this part is already stable enough. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.However, there is no release date yet. It´s done when it´s done...
Well well well...look who´s back. A lot of the major indices are back within uptrends, most of them by working their way through the cloud. Dow Jones lokks particularly strong, which is backed up by a good looking DJ Transportation average index. Currencies, at least the 2 pairs in my basket are of non-interest (from a trend following perspective) at the moment- looking like sideways movement within a big (EUR/JPY) or a small (EUR/USD) range.
For Gold and Silver you can call "ECHOOO" into the abyss... will take a while until you hear something back :)
For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!
All STRONG signals of the 30th week 2018, ordered by symbols:
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| date | symbol | name | type | amp_info | price_quote |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
| 2018-07-25 | BuFu | Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 162.370000 |
| 2018-07-27 | Cocoa | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 2219.500000 |
| 2018-07-26 | Coffee | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 109.550000 |
| 2018-07-27 | DAX | Kumo Breakout | long | from rising Kumo | 12860.400000 |
| 2018-07-25 | DAX | Kumo Breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 12579.330000 |
| 2018-07-26 | DJTransp | Senkou Cross | long | 2018-08-31 | 10984.900000 |
| 2018-07-26 | DJTransp | Chikou Cross | long | 2018-06-19 | 10984.900000 |
| 2018-07-26 | HSI | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 28781.100000 |
| 2018-07-26 | N225 | Kumo Breakout | long | from rising Kumo | 22586.900000 |
| 2018-07-25 | OJuice | Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 164.800000 |
| 2018-07-26 | STOXX50E | Kumo Breakout | long | from falling Kumo | 3509.260000 |
| 2018-07-23 | STOXX50E | Kumo Breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 3454.050000 |
| 2018-07-24 | WTI | Kumo Breakout | long | from falling Kumo | 68.520000 |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+--------------+
Below is the gallery for the charts:
BuFu_light
Cocoa_light
Coffee_light
Copper_light
Cotton_light
DAX_light
DJI_light
DJTransp_light
EURJPY_light
EURUSD_light
Gold_light
HSI_light
N225_light
OJuice_light
Palladium_light
SMI_light
SPX_light
STOXX50E_light
Silver_light
Soybeans_light
Sugar_light
WTI_light
If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:
- Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
- ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
- ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
- SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
- SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)
Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.
Wish you relaxing Trading!
DAX |
2018-07-27 |
12860.40 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-21 |
from 12380.42 to 12734.79 |
price 12511.91 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-27 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 12860.40 |
2018-07-25 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 12579.33 |
2018-07-11 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 12417.13 |
|
|
|
DJI |
2018-07-27 |
25451.94 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 24262.75 to 24396.84 |
price 24657.80 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-09 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 24776.59 |
2018-07-09 |
Kijun Cross (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 24776.59 |
2018-06-25 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 24252.80 |
|
|
|
DJTransp |
2018-07-27 |
10957.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 10437.7 to 10445.7 |
price 10872.9 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-26 |
Senkou Cross (2018-08-31) |
Long at 10984.9 |
2018-07-16 |
Kumo Breakout (2018-08-31) |
Short at 10435.5 |
2018-07-11 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 10442.5 |
|
|
|
HSI |
2018-07-27 |
28804.3 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 30466.3 to 30748.4 |
price 29696.2 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-26 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 28781.1 |
2018-06-19 |
Senkou Cross (Death X) |
Short at 29468.2 |
2018-06-15 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 30309.5 |
|
|
|
N225 |
2018-07-27 |
22712.8 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 21629.8 to 22409.3 |
price 22555.4 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-26 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 22586.9 |
2018-07-05 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 21547.0 |
2018-06-12 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22878.3 |
|
|
|
STOXX50E |
2018-07-27 |
3529.08 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-21 |
from 3417.98 to 3521.07 |
price 3403.51 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-26 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 3509.26 |
2018-07-23 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 3454.05 |
2018-07-18 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 3485.08 |
|
|
|
SMI |
2018-07-27 |
9173.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-21 |
from 8779.2 to 8888.0 |
price 8459.9 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-18 |
Senkou Cross (2018-08-23) |
Long at 8938.1 |
2018-07-12 |
Kumo Breakout (2018-08-23) |
Long at 8818.2 |
2018-07-09 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 8759.9 |
|
|
|
SPX |
2018-07-27 |
2818.82 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 2668.36 to 2677.85 |
price 2767.32 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-12 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 2798.29 |
2018-07-06 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 2759.82 |
2018-07-05 |
Chikou Cross (2018-05-29) |
Long at 2736.61 |
|
|
|
BuFu |
2018-07-27 |
162.13 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-06-21 |
from 158.53 to 158.63 |
price 162.15 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-25 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 162.37 |
2018-06-27 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 162.30 |
2018-06-21 |
Senkou Cross (2018-07-27) |
Long at 162.15 |
|
|
|
Cocoa |
2018-07-27 |
2219.50 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 2567.75 to 2736.62 |
price 2557.00 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-27 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 2219.50 |
2018-06-22 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 2508.50 |
2018-07-18 |
Chikou Cross (2018-06-11) |
Short at 2335.50 |
|
|
|
Coffee |
2018-07-27 |
110.220 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 118.885 to 119.398 |
price 113.650 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-26 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 109.550 |
2018-06-15 |
Senkou Cross (Death X) |
Short at 115.200 |
2018-06-15 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 115.200 |
|
|
|
Copper |
2018-07-27 |
2.796 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-22 |
from 3.055 to 3.079 |
price 3.033 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-06-21 |
Senkou Cross (2018-07-26) |
Short at 3.025 |
2018-06-19 |
Kumo Breakout (2018-07-26) |
Short at 3.046 |
2018-06-05 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 3.191 |
|
|
|
Cotton |
2018-07-27 |
88.3100 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 83.3550 to 85.2925 |
price 83.2800 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-20 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 87.1100 |
2018-07-02 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 82.9700 |
2018-06-22 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 85.8100 |
|
|
|
Gold |
2018-07-27 |
1222.200 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-22 |
from 1306.975 to 1327.300 |
price 1267.400 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-06-26 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1256.600 |
2018-06-15 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1274.600 |
2018-06-11 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1298.900 |
|
|
|
OJuice |
2018-07-27 |
163.8 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 153.3 to 159.1 |
price 156.9 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-25 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 164.8 |
2018-07-06 |
Chikou Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 168.4 |
2018-04-26 |
Senkou Cross (2018-06-04) |
Long at 152.1 |
|
|
|
Palladium |
2018-07-27 |
920.3 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-22 |
from 969.5 to 973.6 |
price 946.4 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-06-25 |
Senkou Cross (2018-07-30) |
Short at 935.4 |
2018-06-19 |
Kumo Breakout (2018-07-30) |
Short at 960.3 |
2018-05-31 |
Kumo Breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 981.7 |
|
|
|
Silver |
2018-07-27 |
15.515 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-27 |
from 16.431 to 16.600 |
price 16.065 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-06-26 |
Senkou Cross (2018-07-26) |
Short at 16.275 |
2018-06-25 |
Kumo Breakout (2018-07-26) |
Short at 16.308 |
2018-06-19 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 16.303 |
|
|
|
Soybeans |
2018-07-27 |
870.2 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-21 |
from 1023.1 to 1026.4 |
price 881.8 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-06-06 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 995.5 |
2018-06-04 |
Senkou Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1002.2 |
2018-06-04 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1002.2 |
|
|
|
Sugar |
2018-07-27 |
10.88 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-06-20 |
from 11.53 to 12.24 |
price 11.89 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-10 |
Senkou Cross (2018-08-15) |
Short at 11.41 |
2018-07-02 |
Kumo Breakout (2018-08-15) |
Short at 11.56 |
2018-06-26 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 12.12 |
|
|
|
WTI |
2018-07-27 |
69.020 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-06-22 |
from 66.995 to 70.733 |
price 68.580 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-24 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 68.520 |
2018-07-19 |
Kijun Cross (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 69.460 |
2018-06-29 |
Senkou Cross (2018-08-03) |
Long at 74.150 |
|
|
|
EURJPY |
2018-07-27 |
129.460 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-06-27 |
from 129.633 to 130.175 |
price 127.390 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-05 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 129.330 |
2018-06-29 |
Kumo Breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 129.330 |
2018-06-29 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 129.330 |
|
|
|
EURUSD |
2018-07-27 |
1.16580 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-06-21 |
from 1.19837 to 1.21200 |
price 1.16030 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-07-17 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1.16610 |
2018-07-11 |
Kumo Breakout (Death X) |
Short at 1.16740 |
2018-07-11 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1.16740 |
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