Happy New Year 2018 everyone! While I was kind of lazy for the last 2 weeks, the markets were not. For the last week of 2017 and the first week of 2018 generated in sum 11 signals in 9 markets (out of 22):
As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)
If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.
I wish you a relaxing and profitable 2018!
Around last 2 weeks usually the volume is pretty low, compared to the rest of the year. Also considering the limited number of trading days, all signals have to be taken with a grain of salt. However, all indices in the investment universe had some pretty strong moves on the long side. The two FOREX pairs also had an upmove, EUR/JPY this time breaking out of the sideways market. Gold: welcome back in long mode, Palladium also within a strong uptrend. If you follow the investment-related media, by now you should know that WTI is also in a pretty strong uptrend at the moment- last 2 weeks emphasized that. For the rest of the markets (especially when doing an intermarket analysis), check the tables and charts below.
All STRONG signals of the 52nd week 2017, ordered by symbols:
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+------------+---------+
| date | symbol | name | type | amp_info | price |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+------------+---------+
| 2017-12-27 | Copper | Senkou Cross | long | 2018-01-31 | 3.3 |
| 2017-12-28 | EURUSD | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 1.1943 |
| 2017-12-27 | HSI | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 29597.7 |
| 2017-12-25 | Silver | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 16.39 |
| 2017-12-28 | STOXX50E | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 3524.31 |
| 2017-12-28 | Sugar | Chikou Cross | long | 2017-11-20 | 15 |
| 2017-12-26 | WTI | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 59.97 |
+------------+----------+--------------------+-------+------------+---------+
All STRONG signals of the first week 2018, ordered by symbols:
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------+----------+
| date | symbol | name | type | amp_info | price |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------+----------+
| 2018-01-04 | BuFu | Senkou Cross | short | 2018-02-08 | 161.59 |
| 2018-01-04 | DAX | Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 13167.89 |
| 2018-01-04 | DAX | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 13167.89 |
| 2018-01-05 | Sugar | Chikou Cross | long | 2017-11-28 | 15.09 |
+------------+--------+--------------------+-------+------------+----------+
The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)
BuFu_contrast
Cocoa_contrast
Coffee_contrast
Copper_contrast
Cotton_contrast
DAX_contrast
DJI_contrast
DJTransp_contrast
EURJPY_contrast
EURUSD_contrast
Gold_contrast
HSI_contrast
N225_contrast
OJuice_contrast
Palladium_contrast
SMI_contrast
SPX_contrast
STOXX50E_contrast
Silver_contrast
Soybeans_contrast
Sugar_contrast
WTI_contrast
If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant settings:
- Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
- ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
- ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = true (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
- SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
- SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)
Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.
Wish you relaxing Trading!
DAX |
2018-01-05 |
13319.64 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-27 |
from 12481.80 to 12897.01 |
price 13000.20 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-04 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 13167.89 |
2018-01-04 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 13167.89 |
2017-09-18 |
Senkou Cross (2017-10-25) |
Long at 12559.39 |
|
|
|
DJI |
2018-01-05 |
25291.53 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 22464.59 to 22910.80 |
price 23836.71 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-09-12 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22118.86 |
2017-09-11 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22057.37 |
2017-08-30 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 21892.43 |
|
|
|
DJTransp |
2018-01-05 |
10911.7 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 9545.3 to 9854.6 |
price 9754.0 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-29 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-07) |
Long at 10076.4 |
2017-11-29 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 10076.4 |
2017-11-29 |
Chikou Cross (2017-10-23) |
Long at 10076.4 |
|
|
|
HSI |
2018-01-05 |
30814.6 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-27 |
from 27831.2 to 28248.1 |
price 29686.2 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-27 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 29597.7 |
2017-12-22 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-31) |
Long at 29578.0 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 29253.7 |
|
|
|
N225 |
2018-01-05 |
23714.5 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-27 |
from 20371.7 to 20979.5 |
price 22496.0 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-18 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22901.8 |
2017-12-18 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22901.8 |
2017-12-08 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22811.1 |
|
|
|
STOXX50E |
2018-01-05 |
3604.61 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span above kumo at 3604.61 |
Kumo on 2017-11-27 |
from 3494.77 to 3587.00 |
price 3564.02 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-28 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 3524.31 |
2017-12-20 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 3552.65 |
2017-09-13 |
Senkou Cross (2017-10-19) |
Long at 3523.14 |
|
|
|
SMI |
2018-01-05 |
9557.0 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-24 |
from 9035.1 to 9215.1 |
price 9325.6 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-12 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-06) |
Long at 9361.4 |
2017-11-28 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 9320.4 |
2017-11-21 |
Chikou Cross (2017-10-16) |
Long at 9324.5 |
|
|
|
SPX |
2018-01-05 |
2743.08 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 2496.40 to 2545.94 |
price 2627.04 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-16 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 2585.64 |
2017-08-17 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 2430.01 |
2017-08-17 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 2430.01 |
|
|
|
BuFu |
2018-01-05 |
161.61 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-27 |
from 161.73 to 163.04 |
price 163.11 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-04 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-08) |
Short at 161.59 |
2017-12-01 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.80 |
2017-11-06 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.14 |
|
|
|
Cocoa |
2018-01-05 |
1893.00 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 1993.25 to 2069.50 |
price 2044.00 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-06 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 2118.50 |
2017-09-12 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1999.00 |
2017-08-31 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1966.00 |
|
|
|
Coffee |
2018-01-05 |
128.380 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 128.380 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 130.012 to 133.200 |
price 127.450 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-13 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 120.080 |
2017-12-06 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 124.850 |
2017-12-05 |
Chikou Cross (2017-10-27) |
Short at 125.950 |
|
|
|
Copper |
2018-01-05 |
3.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-04 |
from 3.1 to 3.1 |
price 3.1 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-27 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-31) |
Long at 3.3 |
2017-12-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-07) |
Short at 2.9 |
2017-12-04 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 3.1 |
|
|
|
Cotton |
2018-01-05 |
77.9400 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 68.3825 to 71.2000 |
price 72.2300 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-09 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.3400 |
2017-11-01 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.2800 |
2017-10-26 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.1600 |
|
|
|
Gold |
2018-01-05 |
1321.200 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-04 |
from 1280.075 to 1312.600 |
price 1277.700 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-07 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1253.100 |
2017-12-05 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-05) |
Short at 1264.900 |
2017-12-03 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-02) |
Short at 1276.700 |
|
|
|
OJuice |
2018-01-05 |
136.8 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 147.2 to 155.1 |
price 165.3 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-10 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 162.6 |
2017-11-03 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 156.7 |
2017-10-25 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 153.4 |
|
|
|
Palladium |
2018-01-05 |
1086.0 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-04 |
from 953.8 to 968.6 |
price 991.4 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-14 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1024.9 |
2017-12-11 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-10) |
Long at 1000.7 |
2017-12-07 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1006.5 |
|
|
|
Silver |
2018-01-05 |
17.255 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2017-12-04 |
from 16.927 to 17.256 |
price 16.370 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-25 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 16.390 |
2017-11-29 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 16.524 |
2017-11-29 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-01) |
Short at 16.524 |
|
|
|
Soybeans |
2018-01-05 |
969.8 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 960.2 to 980.2 |
price 992.9 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-18 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-24) |
Short at 961.6 |
2017-12-15 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 967.4 |
2017-12-01 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 994.4 |
|
|
|
Sugar |
2018-01-05 |
15.09 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-28 |
from 13.75 to 13.98 |
price 15.04 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-05 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-28) |
Long at 15.09 |
2017-12-28 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-20) |
Long at 15.00 |
2017-12-13 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-21) |
Short at 13.85 |
|
|
|
WTI |
2018-01-05 |
61.560 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-04 |
from 50.670 to 53.042 |
price 57.470 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-26 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 59.970 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 57.460 |
2017-12-14 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 57.040 |
|
|
|
EURJPY |
2018-01-05 |
136.170 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-11-30 |
from 131.015 to 133.085 |
price 133.960 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 133.660 |
2017-12-07 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 133.130 |
2017-11-30 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 133.960 |
|
|
|
EURUSD |
2018-01-05 |
1.20400 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-04 |
from 1.17173 to 1.18345 |
price 1.18660 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-28 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.19430 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.18400 |
2017-12-13 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.18260 |
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