Last week, already the 4th of the new year, saw 5 Signals in 3 markets (out of 22):
As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)
If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.
I won't write anything about the US indices this week- it is getting boring. Just look for yourself ;) At least, a couple of corrective candles are back, every now and then. Trends still look very healthy... Bund Euro Future continued to trend south, with a textbook example of a trend definition by Dow theory (lower lows, lower highs). EUR/USD ignited the next stage, also a nice example of a trend- this one short term with high momentum. Apropos short term/high momentum: just have a look at gold. A pretty boring market for a long time, and suddenly a ~10% plus within 1,5 months. The trend is your friend- until it ends. If, for example, Sugar Future stopped trending I cannot say. But I can ride the trend until the system tells me to get out :) For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), check the charts and tables below!
All STRONG signals of the 4th week 2018, ordered by symbols:
+------------+----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------+
| date | symbol | name | type | amp_info | price |
+------------+----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------+
| 2018-01-26 | Coffee | Kumo breakout | long | from falling Kumo | 125.15 |
| 2018-01-23 | Copper | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 3.1 |
| 2018-01-24 | Copper | Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 3.2 |
| 2018-01-24 | Copper | Kumo breakout | long | from rising Kumo | 3.2 |
| 2018-01-25 | Soybeans | Kumo breakout | long | from rising Kumo | 991.2 |
+------------+----------+---------------+-------+-------------------+--------+
The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)
BuFu_contrast
Cocoa_contrast
Coffee_contrast
Copper_contrast
Cotton_contrast
DAX_contrast
DJI_contrast
DJTransp_contrast
EURJPY_contrast
EURUSD_contrast
Gold_contrast
HSI_contrast
N225_contrast
OJuice_contrast
Palladium_contrast
SMI_contrast
SPX_contrast
STOXX50E_contrast
Silver_contrast
Soybeans_contrast
Sugar_contrast
WTI_contrast
If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant settings:
- Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
- ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
- ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
- SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
- SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)
Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.
Wish you relaxing Trading!
DAX |
2018-01-26 |
13340.17 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 12697.20 to 13268.01 |
price 13312.30 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-16 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-20) |
Long at 13246.33 |
2018-01-15 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 13200.51 |
2018-01-04 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 13167.89 |
|
|
|
DJI |
2018-01-26 |
26616.71 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 22637.85 to 23292.35 |
price 24792.20 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-09-12 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22118.86 |
2017-09-11 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22057.37 |
2017-09-11 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22057.37 |
|
|
|
DJTransp |
2018-01-26 |
11125.8 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 9583.4 to 9743.7 |
price 10522.3 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-29 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-08) |
Long at 10076.4 |
2017-11-29 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 10076.4 |
2017-11-29 |
Chikou Cross (2017-10-23) |
Long at 10076.4 |
|
|
|
HSI |
2018-01-26 |
33154.1 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 28269.1 to 28677.0 |
price 29050.4 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-27 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 29597.7 |
2017-12-22 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-31) |
Long at 29578.0 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 29253.7 |
|
|
|
N225 |
2018-01-26 |
23631.9 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-15 |
from 21096.3 to 22081.1 |
price 22553.2 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-18 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22901.8 |
2017-12-18 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22901.8 |
2017-12-08 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 22811.1 |
|
|
|
STOXX50E |
2018-01-26 |
3647.41 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 3552.75 to 3647.25 |
price 3609.42 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-18 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-22) |
Long at 3620.91 |
2018-01-18 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 3620.91 |
2018-01-16 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 3622.01 |
|
|
|
SMI |
2018-01-26 |
9515.6 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-15 |
from 9062.4 to 9212.1 |
price 9394.7 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-12 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-06) |
Long at 9361.4 |
2017-11-28 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 9320.4 |
2017-11-21 |
Chikou Cross (2017-10-16) |
Long at 9324.5 |
|
|
|
SPX |
2018-01-26 |
2872.87 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 2512.61 to 2575.06 |
price 2690.16 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-16 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 2585.64 |
2017-11-15 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 2564.62 |
2017-11-15 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 2564.62 |
|
|
|
BuFu |
2018-01-26 |
159.79 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 162.49 to 163.04 |
price 163.40 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-04 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-08) |
Short at 161.59 |
2017-12-01 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.80 |
2017-11-27 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.11 |
|
|
|
Cocoa |
2018-01-26 |
1996.50 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 1996.50 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 2063.25 to 2123.38 |
price 1922.50 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-05 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 1934.00 |
2017-11-06 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 2118.50 |
2017-09-20 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 2006.50 |
|
|
|
Coffee |
2018-01-26 |
125.150 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 125.712 to 131.275 |
price 121.920 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-26 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 125.150 |
2018-01-18 |
Chikou Cross (2017-12-08) |
Short at 121.100 |
2018-01-10 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 123.950 |
|
|
|
Copper |
2018-01-26 |
3.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2017-12-25 |
from 3.1 to 3.1 |
price 3.2 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-24 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 3.2 |
2018-01-24 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 3.2 |
2018-01-23 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 3.1 |
|
|
|
Cotton |
2018-01-26 |
80.5300 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 68.6175 to 71.2950 |
price 75.2300 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-24 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 71.9400 |
2017-11-09 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.3400 |
2017-11-01 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.2800 |
|
|
|
Gold |
2018-01-26 |
1352.100 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-26 |
from 1283.225 to 1291.300 |
price 1287.500 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-27 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 1291.400 |
2017-12-07 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1253.100 |
2017-12-05 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-05) |
Short at 1264.900 |
|
|
|
OJuice |
2018-01-26 |
149.8 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 147.7 to 156.8 |
price 141.1 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-14 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 146.9 |
2017-11-10 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 162.6 |
2017-11-03 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 156.7 |
|
|
|
Palladium |
2018-01-26 |
1086.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-26 |
from 963.8 to 990.7 |
price 1045.9 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-14 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1024.9 |
2017-12-11 |
Chikou Cross (2017-11-10) |
Long at 1000.7 |
2017-12-07 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1006.5 |
|
|
|
Silver |
2018-01-26 |
17.385 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-26 |
from 16.920 to 17.052 |
price 16.615 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-25 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 16.390 |
2017-11-29 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 16.524 |
2017-11-29 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-01) |
Short at 16.524 |
|
|
|
Soybeans |
2018-01-26 |
986.0 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 986.0 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 969.6 to 988.8 |
price 961.6 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-25 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 991.2 |
2017-12-18 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-26) |
Short at 961.6 |
2017-12-15 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 967.4 |
|
|
|
Sugar |
2018-01-26 |
13.36 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-18 |
from 13.98 to 14.47 |
price 13.76 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-16 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-20) |
Short at 13.59 |
2018-01-11 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 14.18 |
2018-01-11 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 14.18 |
|
|
|
WTI |
2018-01-26 |
66.140 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-26 |
from 54.075 to 56.217 |
price 59.970 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-26 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 59.970 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 57.460 |
2017-12-14 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 57.040 |
|
|
|
EURJPY |
2018-01-26 |
135.030 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-21 |
from 131.945 to 132.802 |
price 134.560 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-12 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 135.320 |
2017-12-19 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 133.660 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 133.660 |
|
|
|
EURUSD |
2018-01-26 |
1.24210 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2017-12-21 |
from 1.17285 to 1.17935 |
price 1.18730 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-28 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.19430 |
2017-12-19 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 1.18400 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.18400 |
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