As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)
Already the 7th week of the year...time goes by. This week brought 9 signals in 7 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):
If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.
So, correction is over and everyone´s back to business? Buy the dips, long only. Well...not so sure. DAX, Nikkei, SMI and EUROSTOXX are clearly still very bearish by ichimoku definition. US indices on the other hand, look as they want to return to their uptrend quickly... if we see a chikou cross next week, from a technical perspective they will be in Long mode (again, by ichimoku definition, remember: quotes above cloud, the same for chikou). I`ll stick to the system as I have no clue if the correction is over or has just begun. On the other hand, looking at commodities, there are some very nice moves going on at the moment (just check Cocoa and Soybeans Future). For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!
All STRONG signals of the 7th week 2018, ordered by symbols:
+------------+--------+---------------+-------+-------------------+---------+
| date | symbol | name | type | amp_info | price |
+------------+--------+---------------+-------+-------------------+---------+
| 2018-02-13 | Cocoa | Kumo breakout | long | from falling Kumo | 2049.5 |
| 2018-02-15 | Coffee | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 121.75 |
| 2018-02-15 | Copper | Chikou Cross | long | 2018-01-16 | 3.2 |
| 2018-02-15 | EURJPY | Senkou Cross | short | 2018-03-22 | 132.72 |
| 2018-02-14 | Gold | Chikou Cross | long | 2018-01-15 | 1358 |
| 2018-02-14 | Gold | Kijun Cross | long | Golden X | 1358 |
| 2018-02-12 | HSI | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 29459.6 |
| 2018-02-15 | HSI | Chikou Cross | long | 2018-01-10 | 31115.4 |
| 2018-02-16 | OJuice | Kumo breakout | long | from falling Kumo | 151.2 |
+------------+--------+---------------+-------+-------------------+---------+
The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)
BuFu_contrast
Cocoa_contrast
Coffee_contrast
Copper_contrast
Cotton_contrast
DAX_contrast
DJI_contrast
DJTransp_contrast
EURJPY_contrast
EURUSD_contrast
Gold_contrast
HSI_contrast
N225_contrast
OJuice_contrast
Palladium_contrast
SMI_contrast
SPX_contrast
STOXX50E_contrast
Silver_contrast
Soybeans_contrast
Sugar_contrast
WTI_contrast
If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:
- Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
- ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
- ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
- SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
- SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)
Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.
Wish you relaxing Trading!
DAX |
2018-02-16 |
12451.96 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-11 |
from 13021.89 to 13088.71 |
price 13202.90 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-05 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 12687.49 |
2018-02-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) |
Short at 12687.49 |
2018-02-01 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 13003.90 |
|
|
|
DJI |
2018-02-16 |
25219.38 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 23273.46 to 23814.74 |
price 25369.13 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-08 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 23860.46 |
2018-02-06 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 24912.77 |
2018-02-02 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 25520.96 |
|
|
|
DJTransp |
2018-02-16 |
10502.3 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 10502.3 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 9884.0 to 9893.0 |
price 11030.1 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-29 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-08) |
Long at 10076.4 |
2017-11-29 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 10076.4 |
2017-11-29 |
Chikou Cross (2017-10-23) |
Long at 10076.4 |
|
|
|
HSI |
2018-02-15 |
31115.4 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 28750.0 to 29397.9 |
price 31073.7 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-15 |
Chikou Cross (2018-01-10) |
Long at 31115.4 |
2018-02-12 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 29459.6 |
2017-12-27 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 29597.7 |
|
|
|
N225 |
2018-02-16 |
21720.2 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 21797.9 to 22439.6 |
price 23788.2 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-06 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-14) |
Short at 21610.2 |
2018-02-06 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 21610.2 |
2018-02-01 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 23486.1 |
|
|
|
STOXX50E |
2018-02-16 |
3426.80 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-11 |
from 3592.99 to 3614.08 |
price 3595.24 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) |
Short at 3478.77 |
2018-02-02 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 3523.28 |
2018-01-18 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-22) |
Long at 3620.91 |
|
|
|
SMI |
2018-02-16 |
8986.7 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-11 |
from 9207.9 to 9254.6 |
price 9503.8 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-06 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 8836.7 |
2018-02-06 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) |
Short at 8836.7 |
2018-02-02 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 9220.7 |
|
|
|
SPX |
2018-02-16 |
2732.22 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 2572.89 to 2612.79 |
price 2748.23 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-08 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-15) |
Short at 2581.00 |
2018-02-08 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 2581.00 |
2018-02-06 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 2695.14 |
|
|
|
BuFu |
2018-02-16 |
158.61 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-11 |
from 162.08 to 162.93 |
price 160.31 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-04 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-09) |
Short at 161.59 |
2017-12-01 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.80 |
2017-11-27 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.11 |
|
|
|
Cocoa |
2018-02-16 |
2115.50 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 2098.62 to 2098.75 |
price 1942.50 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-13 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 2049.50 |
2018-02-08 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 2028.50 |
2018-02-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) |
Long at 2044.00 |
|
|
|
Coffee |
2018-02-16 |
117.950 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 125.725 to 129.300 |
price 123.950 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-15 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 121.750 |
2018-02-07 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 123.300 |
2018-02-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) |
Short at 119.800 |
|
|
|
Copper |
2018-02-16 |
3.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-17 |
from 3.0 to 3.1 |
price 3.2 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-15 |
Chikou Cross (2018-01-16) |
Long at 3.2 |
2018-02-07 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 3.1 |
2018-01-24 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Long at 3.2 |
|
|
|
Cotton |
2018-02-16 |
75.6200 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 75.6200 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 70.1500 to 71.0400 |
price 79.6200 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-24 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 71.9400 |
2017-11-09 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.3400 |
2017-11-01 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.2800 |
|
|
|
Gold |
2018-02-16 |
1356.200 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-17 |
from 1261.850 to 1273.350 |
price 1339.200 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-14 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1358.000 |
2018-02-14 |
Chikou Cross (2018-01-15) |
Long at 1358.000 |
2017-12-27 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 1291.400 |
|
|
|
OJuice |
2018-02-16 |
151.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 155.5 to 162.2 |
price 134.9 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-16 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 151.2 |
2017-12-14 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 146.9 |
2017-11-10 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 162.6 |
|
|
|
Palladium |
2018-02-16 |
1036.9 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-17 |
from 986.6 to 1002.9 |
price 1108.8 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-06 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) |
Short at 1009.3 |
2018-02-05 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 1017.3 |
2017-12-14 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1024.9 |
|
|
|
Silver |
2018-02-16 |
16.600 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 16.600 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2018-01-17 |
from 16.208 to 16.507 |
price 17.040 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-07 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 16.360 |
2018-01-31 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 17.345 |
2017-12-25 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 16.390 |
|
|
|
Soybeans |
2018-02-16 |
1021.2 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-11 |
from 980.5 to 992.2 |
price 949.0 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-06 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 987.0 |
2018-02-06 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 987.0 |
2018-01-30 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-05) |
Long at 999.5 |
|
|
|
Sugar |
2018-02-16 |
13.38 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-10 |
from 14.25 to 14.93 |
price 14.65 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-16 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-20) |
Short at 13.59 |
2018-01-11 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 14.18 |
2018-01-11 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 14.18 |
|
|
|
WTI |
2018-02-16 |
61.680 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 61.680 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2018-01-17 |
from 54.875 to 57.090 |
price 63.970 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-09 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 59.200 |
2017-12-26 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 59.970 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 57.460 |
|
|
|
EURJPY |
2018-02-16 |
131.890 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-11 |
from 132.835 to 132.915 |
price 133.860 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-15 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-22) |
Short at 132.720 |
2018-02-08 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 133.180 |
2018-02-06 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 135.610 |
|
|
|
EURUSD |
2018-02-16 |
1.24060 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-11 |
from 1.17580 to 1.18045 |
price 1.20320 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-28 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.19430 |
2017-12-19 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 1.18400 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.18400 |
|
|
|
Comments powered by CComment