As usual the weather backcast contains the ichimoku analysis of 22 indices, futures and FOREX pairs. The linked charts contain all the details and neccessary context. Both charts and tables are generated automatically, at the moment the software is still work in progress. As such, I am not sure if it works 100% correctly, so if you see a mistake, would like to see an addition/change or simply give feedback: feel free to mail me at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.Thanks a lot :)
The 9th week triggered some signals on the short side. It brought brought 15 signals in 9 different markets (out of 22 in the investment universe):
If you would like to play around with the system that is used to generate the signals and charts on this blog, you can do so! The latest version of my software, ichinscratchy v0.3.0, was released in December 2017. It´s free & open source, you can find it under http://spare-time-trading.de/en/trading-system. Work on the next version (that will be a maintenance release) has already begun. You can check out the development activities at gitlab: https://gitlab.com/werwurm/ichi_reloaded.
Looking at the signal table below, it is clear that the relatively high number of signals is somewhat deceiving. There are a lot of double or even triple signals that occured at the same day. Also note alittle bias: all 15 signals are short ones! The indices in the investment universe now decided to switch to (at the moment short term) bear mode. EUR/JPY also established a down-trend, while EUR/USD at the moment struggles with kumo, so no clear trend is established. For all markets in the investment universe (especially for an intermarket analysis), as usual: check the charts and tables below!
All STRONG signals of the 9th week 2018, ordered by symbols:
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+
| date | symbol | name | type | amp_info | price |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+
| 2018-03-02 | Coffee | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 120.35 |
| 2018-02-28 | Copper | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 3.107 |
| 2018-02-28 | Copper | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 3.107 |
| 2018-02-28 | Copper | Senkou Cross | short | 2018-04-04 | 3.107 |
| 2018-03-01 | DJI | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 24608.98 |
| 2018-03-01 | DJI | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 24608.98 |
| 2018-02-28 | DJTransp | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 10382 |
| 2018-03-01 | OJuice | Kumo breakout | short | from falling Kumo | 138.4 |
| 2018-03-01 | Palladium | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 985.8 |
| 2018-02-27 | Palladium | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 1034.4 |
| 2018-03-01 | SPX | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 2677.67 |
| 2018-03-01 | SPX | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 2677.67 |
| 2018-02-27 | Sugar | Tenkan/Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 13.01 |
| 2018-02-27 | Sugar | Kijun Cross | short | Death X | 13.01 |
| 2018-03-01 | WTI | Kumo breakout | short | from rising Kumo | 60.99 |
+------------+-----------+--------------------+-------+-------------------+----------+
The gallery contains the dark theme charts. If you hate it, feel free to drop a comment or a mail :)
BuFu_contrast
Cocoa_contrast
Coffee_contrast
Copper_contrast
Cotton_contrast
DAX_contrast
DJI_contrast
DJTransp_contrast
EURJPY_contrast
EURUSD_contrast
Gold_contrast
HSI_contrast
N225_contrast
OJuice_contrast
Palladium_contrast
SMI_contrast
SPX_contrast
STOXX50E_contrast
Silver_contrast
Soybeans_contrast
Sugar_contrast
WTI_contrast
If you downloaded my software and wonder about the system settings, a quick overview for the most relevant ones used for this weekly overview:
- Ichimoku time period settings are standard (9,26,52), only strong signals are shown.
- ICHI_CHIKOU_CONFIRM = true (Chikou Span is used as confirmation/ filter for trend).
- ICHI_KUMO_CONFIRM = false (Kumo breakouts have to be higher/lower than last reaction high/low to be valid)
- SIGNAL_REGIME_FILTER = none (all market regime filters are off)
- SIGNAL_EXECUTION_PYRAMID = full (use every signal even if it is already in portfolio)
Below as mentioned the list with the evaluation of the status quo using Ichimoku. The tables also list the last three Strong Ichimoku Signals.
Wish you relaxing Trading!
DAX |
2018-03-02 |
11913.71 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-25 |
from 13039.16 to 13167.84 |
price 13298.36 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-05 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 12687.49 |
2018-02-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) |
Short at 12687.49 |
2018-02-01 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 13003.90 |
|
|
|
DJI |
2018-03-02 |
24538.06 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 23617.69 to 24172.24 |
price 26252.12 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-03-01 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 24608.98 |
2018-03-01 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 24608.98 |
2018-02-08 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 23860.46 |
|
|
|
DJTransp |
2018-03-02 |
10333.0 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 9962.5 to 10152.0 |
price 11184.4 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-28 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 10382.0 |
2018-02-20 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 10340.6 |
2017-11-29 |
Senkou Cross (2018-01-08) |
Long at 10076.4 |
|
|
|
HSI |
2018-03-02 |
30583.4 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 30583.4 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2018-01-23 |
from 28791.4 to 28953.9 |
price 32930.7 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-21 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 31431.9 |
2018-02-21 |
Chikou Cross (2018-01-12) |
Long at 31431.9 |
2018-02-15 |
Chikou Cross (2018-01-10) |
Long at 31115.4 |
|
|
|
N225 |
2018-03-02 |
21181.6 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 21910.2 to 22617.0 |
price 23940.8 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-06 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-14) |
Short at 21610.2 |
2018-02-06 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 21610.2 |
2018-02-01 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 23486.1 |
|
|
|
STOXX50E |
2018-03-02 |
3324.75 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-25 |
from 3570.83 to 3614.08 |
price 3630.15 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-12) |
Short at 3478.77 |
2018-02-02 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 3523.28 |
2018-01-18 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-23) |
Long at 3620.91 |
|
|
|
SMI |
2018-03-02 |
8628.5 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-25 |
from 9231.0 to 9273.1 |
price 9483.0 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-06 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 8836.7 |
2018-02-06 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) |
Short at 8836.7 |
2018-02-02 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 9220.7 |
|
|
|
SPX |
2018-03-02 |
2691.25 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 2600.36 to 2631.49 |
price 2837.54 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-03-01 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 2677.67 |
2018-03-01 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 2677.67 |
2018-02-08 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-18) |
Short at 2581.00 |
|
|
|
BuFu |
2018-03-02 |
159.77 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-25 |
from 162.26 to 163.16 |
price 160.05 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-01-04 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-09) |
Short at 161.59 |
2017-12-01 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.80 |
2017-11-27 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 163.11 |
|
|
|
Cocoa |
2018-03-02 |
2326.50 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 1995.12 to 2044.50 |
price 1951.50 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-13 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 2049.50 |
2018-02-08 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 2028.50 |
2018-02-05 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-13) |
Long at 2044.00 |
|
|
|
Coffee |
2018-03-02 |
120.350 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 123.553 to 125.515 |
price 122.500 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-03-02 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 120.350 |
2018-02-15 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 121.750 |
2018-02-07 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 123.300 |
|
|
|
Copper |
2018-03-02 |
3.101 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-31 |
from 3.109 to 3.151 |
price 3.184 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-28 |
Senkou Cross (2018-04-04) |
Short at 3.107 |
2018-02-28 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 3.107 |
2018-02-28 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 3.107 |
|
|
|
Cotton |
2018-03-02 |
82.1500 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 71.1950 to 72.8200 |
price 82.3100 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-11-24 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 71.9400 |
2017-11-09 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.3400 |
2017-11-01 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 68.2800 |
|
|
|
Gold |
2018-03-02 |
1323.400 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 1323.400 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2018-01-31 |
from 1274.050 to 1280.575 |
price 1343.100 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-14 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1358.000 |
2018-02-14 |
Chikou Cross (2018-01-15) |
Long at 1358.000 |
2017-12-27 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 1291.400 |
|
|
|
OJuice |
2018-03-02 |
138.1 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 156.1 to 157.6 |
price 147.9 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-03-01 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Short at 138.4 |
2018-02-16 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 151.2 |
2017-12-14 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 146.9 |
|
|
|
Palladium |
2018-03-02 |
987.0 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-31 |
from 1013.8 to 1029.4 |
price 1028.5 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-03-01 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 985.8 |
2018-02-27 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 1034.4 |
2018-02-19 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 1028.2 |
|
|
|
Silver |
2018-03-02 |
16.392 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-31 |
from 16.507 to 16.531 |
price 17.345 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-23 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 16.476 |
2018-02-20 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 16.425 |
2018-02-07 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 16.360 |
|
|
|
Soybeans |
2018-03-02 |
1070.0 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-29 |
from 982.9 to 985.0 |
price 991.2 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-06 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 987.0 |
2018-02-06 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 987.0 |
2018-01-30 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-04) |
Long at 999.5 |
|
|
|
Sugar |
2018-03-02 |
13.42 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-24 |
from 14.51 to 14.59 |
price 13.16 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-27 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 13.01 |
2018-02-27 |
Kijun Cross (Death X) |
Short at 13.01 |
2018-01-16 |
Senkou Cross (2018-02-22) |
Short at 13.59 |
|
|
|
WTI |
2018-03-02 |
61.250 |
price in kumo |
--> sideways |
no trades |
Chikou-Span at 61.250 in kumo or between kumo and price |
Kumo on 2018-01-31 |
from 57.200 to 58.570 |
price 64.730 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-03-01 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 60.990 |
2018-02-09 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 59.200 |
2017-12-26 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 59.970 |
|
|
|
EURJPY |
2018-03-02 |
130.260 |
price below kumo |
--> Downtrend |
Signal filter SHORT |
confirmed by Chikou-Span |
Kumo on 2018-01-25 |
from 132.970 to 133.193 |
price 135.630 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2018-02-15 |
Senkou Cross (2018-03-22) |
Short at 132.720 |
2018-02-08 |
Kumo breakout (from rising Kumo) |
Short at 133.180 |
2018-02-06 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 135.610 |
|
|
|
EURUSD |
2018-03-02 |
1.23170 |
price above kumo |
--> Uptrend |
Signal filter LONG |
NOT confirmed by Chikou --> no stable trend |
Kumo on 2018-01-25 |
from 1.17580 to 1.18240 |
price 1.23960 |
Last 3 STRONG signals: |
2017-12-28 |
Tenkan/Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.19430 |
2017-12-19 |
Kumo breakout (from falling Kumo) |
Long at 1.18400 |
2017-12-19 |
Kijun Cross (Golden X) |
Long at 1.18400 |
|
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